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South African rand stretches gains before central bank rate decision


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South African rand stretches gains before central bank rate decision

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South African rand stretches gains before central bank rate decision

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Photo by Reuters

29th January 2026

By: Reuters

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The rand extended its recent strong gains against the dollar on Thursday while traders awaited the South African Reserve Bank's first rate-setting meeting this year for signals on its monetary policy posture.

At 0724 GMT, the rand traded at 15.7050 against the dollar, roughly up 0.5% on Wednesday's close and hovering around its strongest level in 3-1/2 years.

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The currency has gained more than 5% against the dollar so far this year.

The greenback was flat against a basket of currencies while gold, a major South African export, stretched its blistering rally to hit a record just shy of $5 600 an ounce, as investors sought safety amid geopolitical and economic uncertainties.

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Eighteen of 26 analysts polled by Reuters expect the SARB to leave its main lending rate unchanged at its meeting at around 1300 GMT, while eight predicted a 25-basis-point rate cut to 6.50%.

"If the market was not convinced that the SARB would cut rates today, it should be this morning," said ETM Analytics in a note, adding that low inflation outcomes and a strong local currency have opened the door for a January cut.

Statistics South Africa will publish December domestic producer inflation figures at 0930 GMT, with analysts polled by Reuters expecting it to have remained steady at 2.9%.

South Africa's benchmark 2035 government bond was stronger in early deals, as the yield fell 2 basis points to 8.04%.

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