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‘Navigating rapid change’: verifying South African president Cyril Ramaphosa’s 2025 state of the nation address


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‘Navigating rapid change’: verifying South African president Cyril Ramaphosa’s 2025 state of the nation address

President Cyril Ramaphosa
President Cyril Ramaphosa delivering the 2025 SoNA

7th February 2025

By: Africa Check

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South African president Cyril Ramaphosa delivered the first state of the nation address under the government of national unity, in which he called on the country to find its way in a rapidly changing world.

Ramaphosa told a joint session of parliament in Cape Town that this included the rise of nationalism, protectionism and the pursuit of narrow interests even as the world faced challenges such as geopolitical contests. 

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“This is the world that we, as South Africa, a developing economy, must now navigate,” he said. The country would also not be “bullied”, Ramaphosa said to applause, in an apparent reference to tensions with the new US administration.

The president then made a series of claims about the government's achievements. We have checked some of them.

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Claim: Construction of the Mtentu Bridge continues

Verdict: Correct

Ramaphosa’s claim is supported by several news reports. Despite delays due to community protests, construction of the Mtentu Bridge is ongoing. 

The bridge is part of a project that aims to open up the coastal route between the towns of Port St Johns and Port Edward, and provide a “safer, flatter and faster link” between Durban and the industrial centres of East London and Gqeberha.

But here’s what Ramaphosa didn’t mention - he promised completion of the bridge during his 2023 state of the nation address. Two years later, the commitment remains unmet.

Claim: Our Just Energy Transition is gaining momentum. Over US$13-billion [has] been pledged by the international community

Verdict: Correct

South Africa’s Just Energy Transition Investment Plan (JET IP) outlines how to fund the shift from coal to cleaner energy while still stimulating economic growth.

The South African presidency reported pledges totalling US$13.8-billion in a December 2024 press statement. The transition plan reports a funding breakdown every quarter. Its partners include the African Development Bank, the World Bank and various countries.   

The pledges consist of loans, grants, commercial debt and equity, and export credits. But the partnership has been criticised for allocating more funds to loans than grants.

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Claim: The [presidential] employment stimulus…has created almost 2.2-million work and livelihood opportunities

Verdict: Correct

While the claim is mostly accurate, not all of these work opportunities are new jobs, as one might expect. The Presidential Employment Stimulus (PES) was launched during the Covid pandemic to offset its economic impact. It has been extended to March 2025.

According to the PES dashboard, 2.17-million “opportunities” were created between October 2020 and December 2024. Of these, only 1.8-million are “job opportunities”. The rest fall under “jobs retained” and livelihoods supported”. 

Kate Philip, programme lead for the PES initiative, confirmed that this data is accurate up to December 2024.

Claim: We spend around 60% of our national budget on the social wage

Verdict: Correct

The social wage helps improve living conditions for low-income workers and their families by providing basic services, education, healthcare, and grants for those earning below a set income level.

In 2024/25, the National Treasury allocated R1.23-billion to the social wage, making up 61.1% of the total budget. Despite limited funds, the government said it would continue to prioritise these services.

Claim: More than 28-million unemployed and vulnerable people in our country receive social assistance

Verdict: Incorrect

Once again, the president confused the number of grant recipients with the number of grants.

As of December 2024, 19 235 970 grants were paid out, according to the latest data from Sassa, which manages social benefits.  

This total excludes the Covid-19 social relief of distress (SRD) grant, introduced in May 2020. Only those not receiving other state support qualify for this grant.

At the end of March 2024, about 9-million individuals received this grant. This is the latest figure available. Along with the 19 137 524 other grants paid that month, this totals just over 28.1-million grants - likely Ramaphosa’s figure. 

Except, some recipients receive more than one grant. For example, someone could receive both a child support grant as well as a disability grant.

In March 2024, there were social grant 11 988 902 beneficiaries and 9-million SRD grant recipients, meaning that a total of 20.9-million individuals received a grant in that month.

Due to his mistake, Ramaphosa overestimated the number of beneficiaries by more than seven-million people.

Claim: The matric class of 2024 achieved the highest pass rate in our country’s history

Verdict: Correct

Of the 705 291 learners who wrote the 2024 school-leaving exams, 87.26% passed. This was an improvement from the 82.9% pass rate the previous year, which was also a record.

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While the matric pass rate has been rising since 2021, challenges remain, including high dropout rates, overcrowded classrooms and low mathematics enrolment.

Claim: By the end of March 2024, 96% of people living with HIV knew their status, 79% of these were on antiretroviral treatment, and 94% of those on treatment were virally suppressed.

Verdict: Mostly Correct

95-95-95 is a UN initiative to end the AIDS epidemic as a public health threat by 2030. The target is for 95% of all people with HIV to know their status, for 95% of those people to be on treatment, and for 95% of those on treatment to have suppressed the virus in their bodies. 

South Africa missed an earlier target of 90-90-90 by 2020. By July 2022, it had only reached 94-78-89.

The health department reported progress to 95-79-93 in March 2024. 

In January 2025, health minister Aaron Motsoaledi gave the figure as 96-79-94, which is what Ramaphosa announced. The minister also quoted these figures in a World Aids Day speech in December 2024.

Claim: [United States government funding] accounts for about 17% of our country’s HIV spend.

Verdict: Correct

This claim is in line with figures provided by South Africa’s minister of health. 

On 21 January 2025, US president Donald Trump paused all US foreign aid projects for at least 90 days, including an HIV/Aids prevention programme called the President's Emergency Plan for Aids Relief, or Pepfar, which sends billions of rand each year to South Africa.

The vast majority - 74% - of HIV/Aids funding comes from the South African government. The next largest funding source is Pepfar, which provides 17%, while the international financing partnership, the Global Fund, gives 7%. 

This doesn’t mean that South Africa’s HIV/Aids response will be unaffected. In 2023, representatives of legal advocacy group Section27 expressed concern that planned South African budget cuts “threaten the hard-won gains we have made and can make toward overcoming this epidemic”. 

For more details, read our in-depth fact-check on this topic here.

This report was written by Africa Check., a non-partisan fact-checking organisation. View the original piece on their website.

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